PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov53%
Hubert Hurkacz47%

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24h volume$988
7d volume$988
30d volume$988
Liquidity$2.8K
Spread6%
ResolvesOct 11, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 05:44 PMOct 3, 05:51 AMOct 3, 05:58 PMOct 4, 06:06 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Hubert Hurkacz and Karen Khachanov in the China Open, originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Hubert Hurkacz” if Hubert Hurkacz wins the first set. It will resolve to “Karen Khachanov” if Karen Khachanov wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen KhachanovPolymarket61% Karen KhachanovOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket50% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket99% OverOpen
China Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen KhachanovPolymarket62% Karen KhachanovOpen
China Open: Completed Match: Hubert Hurkacz vs Karen KhachanovPolymarket54% YesOpen
Game Spread: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Hubert Hurkacz (+1.5)Polymarket55% Karen KhachanovOpen
Set Handicap: Karen Khachanov (-1.5) vs Hubert Hurkacz (+1.5)Polymarket69% Hubert HurkaczOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket64% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket100% OverOpen
Hubert Hurkacz vs. Karen Khachanov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket50% Over 2.5Open
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket66% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket91% OverOpen
Hurkacz vs. Khachanov: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket50% UnderOpen

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As of Oct 4, 06:09 AM UTC