Polymarket USOpen

Will a Mag7 Company Launch a USD Stablecoin by December 31, 2026?

No77%
Yes23%

Price checked at

Trade
Set your country to see where you can trade.Set your country
Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.
24h volume$2.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread42%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Drag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom

Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Microsoft officially launches a USD-denominated stablecoin by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM (ET). Outcome sourced from official communications from Microsoft. A qualifying launch occurs only when the token is publicly transferable on mainnet and tradable through a publicly accessible venue, whether a centralized exchange, decentralized exchange, or on-chain liquidity pool. Testnet deployments, private distributions, airdrop claims without public transferability, token-generation announcements, premarket allocations, and non-transferable points do not constitute a qualifying launch. The token must be launched directly by Microsoft, or by a subsidiary, affiliate, or authorized representative of Microsoft acting at Microsoft's direction. Accepting, integrating, distributing, or making payouts in a stablecoin issued by a third party does not qualify.

Other legs of this event

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0

Discussion on Predxy

Sign in to join the discussion.

Nobody has said anything here yet.

As of Oct 24, 02:28 PM UTC