Polymarket USOpen

Another Fed Rate Hike in 2026?

Yes75%
No26%

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24h volume$45.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the United States Federal Reserve increases the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve. Rate changes taken at scheduled FOMC meetings or at unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify.

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 01:39 PM UTC