Polymarket USOpen

Arizona Transgender School Sports and Facilities Restriction Referendum: Passes?

No54%

Yes47%

Price checked at Oct 25, 01:13 AM UTC

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24h volume$457

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread35%

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Arizona Proposition 318, also referred to as "Require All Schools and Athletic Associations to Restrict Sports Participation and Access to Private Spaces Based on Sex" is approved by the numerical threshold of voters in Arizona required for it to pass at the 2026 statewide general election. Outcome sourced from the government of Arizona.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 22 hours ago

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As of Oct 25, 01:22 AM UTC