Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Reserve Bank of Australia
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the Reserve Bank of Australia decreases the cash rate target by any amount between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Reserve Bank of Australia. Rate changes effected as part of scheduled monetary policy meetings or announcements, or during unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change is the change to the upper bound.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Bank of Israel | PolymarketUs | 59% No | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Central Bank of Brazil | PolymarketUs | 63% No | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Bank of Russia | PolymarketUs | 65% No | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Bank of Canada | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Bank of England | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — European Central Bank | PolymarketUs | 64% No | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Bank of Japan | PolymarketUs | 82% No | Open |
| Which Central Banks Will Cut by Dec. 31? — Reserve Bank of New Zealand | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 05:42 AM UTC