Polymarket USOpen

Fed Rate Cut Greater Than 25bps? — By December 31, 2026

No97%

Yes4%

Price checked at Oct 24, 10:30 PM UTC

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24h volume$424

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the Federal Reserve takes a single monetary policy action to decrease the upper bound of the target range for the federal funds rate by more than 25 basis points by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from the Federal Reserve. Monetary policy actions taken at scheduled FOMC meetings or at unscheduled or emergency meetings will both qualify.

Venue activity

Read from the venue 13 hours ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 10:44 PM UTC