Polymarket USResolved

Gemini 4 Released? — By October 31, 2026

Yes100%

No0%

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24h volume$57.4K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesOct 20, 20264 days ago

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Google releases a Gemini model numbered 4.0 or greater by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Google. A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Gemini 4 Released? — By November 30, 2026	PolymarketUs	100% Yes	$44K	—	—	Open
Gemini 4 Released? — By September 30, 2026	PolymarketUs	100% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 5 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 09:12 PM UTC