Polymarket USOpen

GPT Astra 6.1 Released? — By October 31, 2026

No89%

Yes12%

Price checked at Oct 24, 08:28 PM UTC

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24h volume$8.7K

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread1%

ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if OpenAI releases a GPT model labeled Astra and numbered 6.1 or greater by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from OpenAI. A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
GPT Astra 6.1 Released? — By December 31, 2026	PolymarketUs	87% Yes	$12.6K	—	—	Open
GPT Astra 6.1 Released? — By September 30, 2026	PolymarketUs	100% No	—	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 4 hours ago

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As of Oct 24, 08:38 PM UTC