Polymarket USOpen

GPT-7 Released? — By December 31, 2027

Yes79%
No22%

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24h volume$20.9K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if OpenAI releases a GPT model numbered 7.0 or greater by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from OpenAI. Task-specific or modality lines such as GPT-5.6-Cyber, Daybreak models, Codex, GPT Image, Realtime, transcription, or text-to-speech models will not qualify. A "release" refers to the specified model being made accessible and usable to the general public without requiring special status, including via an open beta or open rolling waitlist. A release available to some or all paid members of the public qualifies. A closed beta, or access limited to a closed group of testers, researchers, or enterprise customers, does not qualify.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
GPT-7 Released? — By June 30, 2027PolymarketUs57% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 03:11 PM UTC