CPI YoY in September: Above 4.0%

This market will settle to Yes if U.S. inflation, before seasonal adjustment, over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 (CPI YoY) is above 4.0%. Outcome sourced from BLS. Settlement is based on the Consumer Price Index release published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS), currently scheduled for release on October 14, 2026. Any subsequent revisions to this figure will not be considered for settlement purposes. If the BLS does not publish CPI YoY for September 2026 on the Consumer Price Index scheduled release date, the first figure officially published by BLS for CPI YoY in September 2026 will be used for settlement. If no qualifying figure is published within three months of the scheduled release date, this market will resolve based on data from the most recent previous month with available data.