Bank of Canada Decision in October? — 50+ bps Increase
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the Bank of Canada increases the target for the overnight rate by 50 basis points or more at the October 2026 Bank of Canada Interest Rate Announcement. Outcome sourced from Bank of Canada. If the change in the short-term policy interest rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bank of Canada Decision in October? — No Change | PolymarketUs | 83% No | Open |
| Bank of Canada Decision in October? — 25 bps Increase | PolymarketUs | 83% Yes | Open |
| Bank of Canada Decision in October? — 50+ bps Decrease | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Bank of Canada Decision in October? — 25 bps Decrease | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 18 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 25, 07:06 AM UTC