European Central Bank Decision in October? — 25 bps Increase
Price checked at
The latest price check failed. Showing the last known prices.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the European Central Bank increases the deposit facility rate by 25 basis points at the October 2026 European Central Bank Monetary Policy Meeting. Outcome sourced from the European Central Bank. If the change in the specified rate does not precisely match the displayed options, changes smaller than the smallest option of the same direction (increase/decrease) will be rounded to that smallest option, and changes greater than the smallest option of the same direction will be rounded to the nearest displayed option, with values exactly halfway between options being rounded away from zero.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| European Central Bank Decision in October? — No Change | PolymarketUs | 99% Yes | Open |
| European Central Bank Decision in October? — 50+ bps Decrease | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| European Central Bank Decision in October? — 50+ bps Increase | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| European Central Bank Decision in October? — 25 bps Decrease | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 57 minutes agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 09:21 PM UTC