Chicago WS vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Cleveland wins

Yes100%
No0%

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This market has settled. The prices shown are final.
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ResolvesOct 6, 202618 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 3, 09:46 PMOct 4, 01:57 PMOct 5, 06:09 AMOct 5, 10:20 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Cleveland has more runs than Chicago WS after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between Cleveland and Chicago WS scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The markets use different settlement timing and cancellation/postponement procedures, and Kalshi explicitly keeps a separate Tie outcome; these do not change the underlying Cleveland-first-3-innings question.
  • Geminithis market

    Chicago WS vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Cleveland wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Cleveland has more runs than Chicago WS after the first 3 innings of the MLB game between Cleveland and Chicago WS scheduled for October 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. If the score is tied after the first 3 innings, this market resolves to No. The Underlying is the official score after the first 3 innings of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are MLB and its official data providers. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions__MLB_First_3_Inning_Leader_Classdocx_ae2887d6-cdf7-4e84-9b9e-9053391f4510.pdf).

    read Oct 5, 12:33 PM UTC

  • Chicago WS vs Cleveland: First 3 Innings: Cleveland first 3 innings winner

    If Cleveland wins the first 3 innings of the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the first 3 innings of the Chicago WS vs Cleveland professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT. If the score at the end of the first 3 innings is tied, the "Tie" strike will resolve to Yes and all team strikes will resolve to No. If this game is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled game has finished (within two days). Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Chicago WS vs Cleveland: first 3 innings: Chicago WS winsGemini100% NoOpen
first 3 innings: Will Chicago WS vs Cleveland end in a draw?Gemini100% NoOpen

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As of Oct 25, 06:14 AM UTC