Polymarket USOpen

California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 11.5M

Yes75%
No25%

Price checked at

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24h volume$137
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread18%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California is above 11,500,000 (11.5M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 10.5MPolymarketUs88% YesOpen
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 12MPolymarketUs67% YesOpen
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 13MPolymarketUs76% NoOpen
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 13.5MPolymarketUs81% NoOpen
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 12.5MPolymarketUs—Open
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 14MPolymarketUs—Open
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 14.5MPolymarketUs—Open
California Governor Election: Turnout: Above 11MPolymarketUs—Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 03:40 PM UTC