Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 430K
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Hawaii is above 430,000 (430K). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 400K | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 370K | PolymarketUs | 75% Yes | Open |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 490K | PolymarketUs | 70% No | Open |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 460K | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 340K | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout: Above 310K | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 19 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 25, 12:07 AM UTC