North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 4.7M
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from North Carolina is above 4,700,000 (4.7M). Outcome sourced from the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election. Settlement will be based on the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 3.9M | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 4.1M | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 4.3M | PolymarketUs | 78% No | Open |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 4.5M | PolymarketUs | 88% No | Open |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 3.5M | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| North Carolina Senate Election: Turnout: Above 3.7M | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 25, 07:45 AM UTC