Silva vs Wang: Natalia Silva

Yes100%
No0%

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ResolvesOct 4, 202620 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 01:36 PMOct 3, 08:11 AMOct 4, 02:45 AMOct 4, 09:20 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Natalia Silva wins the Silva vs Wang professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi uses a 50/50 resolution for a tie or no contest and allows postponements within two weeks, while Gemini resolves such outcomes No and allows postponements within seven days. SxBet voids a no contest under its sport-specific rules; these are resolution-rule differences, not different underlying questions.
  • Natalia Silva wins

    If Natalia Silva wins the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Silva vs Cong professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 4, 01:57 AM UTC

  • Natalia Silva vs Cong Wang: Natalia Silva wins

    12. Natalia Silva / Cong Wang. Void condition: NO_CONTEST. SX Bet sport-specific betting rules apply.

    read Oct 6, 10:19 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Silva vs Wang: Natalia Silva

    This market resolves to Yes if Natalia Silva wins the Silva vs Wang professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 9:20 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 4, 12:28 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Silva vs Wang: Cong WangGemini100% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 09:21 PM UTC