Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-10.5)

Arkansas State (+10.5)65%
Louisiana (-10.5)36%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread9%
ResolvesOct 5, 2026in 2 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 01:51 PMOct 2, 09:12 PMOct 3, 04:32 AMOct 3, 11:53 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Louisiana in the entire college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 7:00 p.m. CT is above 10.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Louisiana's score minus Arkansas State's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

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  • Geminithis market

    Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-10.5)

    This market resolves to Yes if the score differential recorded in favor of Louisiana in the entire college football game between Arkansas State and Louisiana scheduled for 2026-10-03 at 7:00 p.m. CT is above 10.5. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the score differential (Louisiana's score minus Arkansas State's score) for the specified game. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event (NCAAF), ESPN, Fox Sports, and the official broadcast partner of the event. If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Terms_and_Conditions_NCAA_CFB_Spread_Class_941e2dcb-07e0-4ee4-9d21-bdd1a7612f13.pdf).

    read Oct 3, 09:37 AM UTC

  • PolymarketOpen →

    Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-10.5)

    In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for October 3 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Louisiana" if Louisiana win the game by 11 or more points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arkansas State". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-23.5)Gemini88% Arkansas State (+23.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-10.5)Gemini90% Louisiana (+10.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-2.5)Gemini72% Louisiana (+2.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-4.5)Gemini77% Louisiana (+4.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-5.5)Gemini80% Louisiana (+5.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-13.5)Gemini92% Louisiana (+13.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-11.5)Gemini91% Louisiana (+11.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-14.5)Gemini96% Louisiana (+14.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-7.5)Gemini85% Louisiana (+7.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-21.5)Gemini87% Arkansas State (+21.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-6.5)Gemini82% Louisiana (+6.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-14.5)Gemini74% Arkansas State (+14.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-9.5)Gemini61% Arkansas State (+9.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-17.5)Gemini78% Arkansas State (+17.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-11.5)Gemini67% Arkansas State (+11.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-4.5)Gemini54% Louisiana (-4.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-5.5)Gemini52% Louisiana (-5.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-2.5)Gemini62% Louisiana (-2.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-3.5)Gemini57% Louisiana (-3.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-6.5)Gemini52% Arkansas State (+6.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-16.5)Gemini77% Arkansas State (+16.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-24.5)Gemini91% Arkansas State (+24.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-1.5)Gemini65% Louisiana (-1.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Louisiana (-27.5)Gemini93% Arkansas State (+27.5)Open
Arkansas State vs Louisiana: spread: Arkansas State (-1.5)Gemini70% Louisiana (+1.5)Open

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As of Oct 3, 11:59 AM UTC