Dos Anjos vs Hernandez: Rafael Dos Anjos

No100%
Yes0%

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ResolvesOct 4, 202620 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 01:38 PMOct 3, 02:14 AMOct 3, 02:51 PMOct 4, 03:27 AM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Rafael Dos Anjos wins the Dos Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Polymarket uses official UFC information and a 50-50 outcome for draws, no contests, or sufficiently delayed/canceled fights; Kalshi and Gemini use different source/contingency rules and postponement windows. These criteria do not materially change the stated winner question.
  • UFC 332: Rafael Dos Anjos vs. Alexander Hernandez (Lightweight, Early Prelims)

    This market will resolve to "Rafael Dos Anjos" if Rafael Dos Anjos is officially declared the winner of the fight against Alexander Hernandez at UFC 332: Silva vs. Wang, scheduled for October 3, 2026. It will resolve to "Alexander Hernandez" if Alexander Hernandez is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

    20 holders · 0 comments · read Sep 30, 02:29 PM UTC

  • Rafael Dos Anjos wins

    If Rafael Dos Anjos wins the Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026. If this fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within two weeks). If the fight is declared a tie or no contest, the market will resolve to 50/50 for both fighters. If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

    read Oct 4, 03:54 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Dos Anjos vs Hernandez: Rafael Dos Anjos

    This market resolves to Yes if Rafael Dos Anjos wins the Dos Anjos vs Hernandez professional MMA fight scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:40 PM ET. Important information: If the fight ends in a draw/tie or no contest, this market will resolve No. If the fight is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled fight has finished (within 7 days). If the fight is cancelled or rescheduled to over 7 days away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Sources: The Wall Street Journal, Fox Sports, and ESPN. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC). Note: this event is mutually exclusive. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/Sporting_Win_Lose_Event_2_Terms_and_Conditions_f232ede2-4e1a-4126-a1d7-89e0fa2225e2.pdf)

    read Oct 3, 06:04 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Dos Anjos vs Hernandez: Alexander HernandezGemini100% YesOpen

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As of Oct 24, 03:07 PM UTC