MotoGP World Champion: Ai Ogura

No99%
Yes2%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesDec 14, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Ai Ogura wins the 2026 MotoGP World Champion title. Outcome sourced from MotoGP.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. The venues use different settlement times (November 30 versus December 14, 2026). Polymarket specifies MotoGP as the source, while Kalshi states the points-based championship criterion; these are settlement-detail differences, not different questions.
  • Will Ai Ogura be the MotoGP World Champion?

    If Ai Ogura wins the 2026 MotoGP World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes. The 2026 MotoGP World Champion is decided by the highest number of points accumulated over a 22-round season. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 23, 03:35 AM UTC

  • Polymarket USthis market

    MotoGP World Champion: Ai Ogura

    This market will settle to Yes if Ai Ogura wins the 2026 MotoGP World Champion title. Outcome sourced from MotoGP.

    read Oct 24, 01:58 AM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
MotoGP World Champion: Raul FernandezPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
MotoGP World Champion: Marc MarquezPolymarketUs85% YesOpen
MotoGP World Champion: Jorge MartinPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
MotoGP World Champion: Fabio Di GiannantonioPolymarketUs—Open
MotoGP World Champion: Marco BezzecchiPolymarketUs99% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 03:45 PM UTC