Polymarket USOpen

2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee: Gavin Newsom

No82%
Yes19%

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ResolvesAug 25, 2028in 2 years

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the Democratic Party nomination to contest the 2028 United States Presidential Election. Outcome sourced from the Democratic Party. Any replacement of the Democratic Party nominee before election day will not affect the settlement of this market.

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As of Oct 24, 06:05 PM UTC