Polymarket USOpen

Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Luke Combs

No97%
Yes4%

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24h volume$19
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 10, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Luke Combs has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 on any Billboard Hot 100 chart released after Contract Issuance and dated in 2026. Outcome sourced from Billboard. Billboard typically updates the Billboard Hot 100 chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday). Under this framework, the final relevant chart would be the chart dated December 26, 2026. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Morgan WallenPolymarketUs90% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Sabrina CarpenterPolymarketUs68% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Billie EilishPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Post MalonePolymarketUs90% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Jack HarlowPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — FuturePolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Kendrick LamarPolymarketUs85% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Travis ScottPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — The WeekndPolymarketUs70% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — SZAPolymarketUs95% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Peso PlumaPolymarketUs75% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Zach BryanPolymarketUs90% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Tyler, The CreatorPolymarketUs90% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Ed SheeranPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Frank OceanPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — RihannaPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Kanye WestPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Playboi CartiPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Lil BabyPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — Doja CatPolymarketUs97% NoOpen
Who Will Have a #1 Song in 2026? — A$AP RockyPolymarketUs97% NoOpen

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As of Oct 24, 04:22 PM UTC