Polymarket USOpen

Who Will Have a #1 Album in 2026? — Olivia Dean

No94%
Yes7%

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24h volume$31
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 10, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Olivia Dean has a #1 album on the Billboard 200 on any Billboard 200 chart released after Contract Issuance and dated in 2026. Outcome sourced from Billboard. Billboard typically updates the Billboard 200 albums chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data from the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then dated Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday). Under this framework, the final relevant chart would be the chart dated December 26, 2026. Any album released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including albums released before 2026. If an album is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Writing credits, production credits, features, or other forms of non-primary contributions to an album will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artist(s) displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart.

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As of Oct 24, 02:31 PM UTC