Will Bitcoin be above ___ in 2026?
Price checked at
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is above the price specified in the title at any point after the creation of this market and before 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027. Otherwise, this market will settle to No. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean exceeds the price specified in the title at any point during the measurement period, the market settles to Yes.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin be above ___ in 2026? | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 8 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 02:26 PM UTC