How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $75,000.00
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is below $75,000.00 at any point from the creation of this market until 12:00 AM ET on January 1, 2027. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean crosses the threshold at any point, the market settles to Yes. Otherwise, the market settles to No.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $70,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 63% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $55,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 91% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $65,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 76% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $45,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 95% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $50,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 93% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $60,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 85% No | Open |
| How low will Bitcoin get this year? — Below $40,000.00 | PolymarketUs | 95% No | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 hours agoDiscussion on Predxy
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As of Oct 24, 03:15 PM UTC