Polymarket USOpen
What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1.5 Trillion
No94%
Yes7%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume—
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Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if Elon Musk's net worth, according to the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, is greater than or equal to $1.5 trillion at any point between Contract Issuance and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Bloomberg Billionaires Index. The Bloomberg Billionaires Index figures are updated after the close of every trading day in New York.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1.1 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 51% Yes | Open |
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $2 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 99% No | Open |
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 100% Yes | Open |
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1.3 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 90% No | Open |
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1.2 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 81% No | Open |
| What Will Elon's Net Worth Hit By December 31? — $1.05 Trillion | PolymarketUs | 100% Yes | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 17 hours agoHolders—
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As of Oct 25, 05:19 PM UTC