2026 Midterms: House Turnout: Less Than 90 Million
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will settle to Yes if the total number of votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative in the 2026 United States Midterm election is less than 90 million. Outcome sourced from the Clerk of the House. Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative are included in the count. Votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner are excluded. If the turnout falls exactly on the boundary between two ranges, the Contract for which that value is the lower boundary will settle to Yes and all other Contracts will settle to No.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 115-120 Million | PolymarketUs | 72% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 125-130 Million | PolymarketUs | 90% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 110-115 Million | PolymarketUs | 81% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: At Least 130 Million | PolymarketUs | 88% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 105-110 Million | PolymarketUs | 89% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 120-125 Million | PolymarketUs | 85% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 90-95 Million | PolymarketUs | 99% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 100-105 Million | PolymarketUs | 94% No | Open |
| 2026 Midterms: House Turnout: 95-100 Million | PolymarketUs | 99% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 06:49 PM UTC