Polymarket USOpen

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner? — Republican Party

No96%
Yes5%

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24h volume$3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party receives the most valid votes for U.S. Representative of any party in the 2026 United States Midterm Election. Outcome sourced from the United States Clerk of the House. Party vote totals will be inclusive of all votes for the partys candidates for U.S. Representative (excluding votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner), as reflected in the certified results from the United States Clerk of the House. If multiple parties tie for the most votes for U.S. Representative, Yes contract holders for each tied party receive $1.00 divided by the number of tied parties, rounded down to the nearest tick, per contract.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Winner? — Democratic PartyPolymarketUs97% YesOpen

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As of Oct 25, 05:24 AM UTC