Polymarket USOpen

Trump Resigns? — By December 31, 2026

No96%
Yes5%

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24h volume$829
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2028next year

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if Donald Trump resigns as the President of the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Outcome sourced from Donald Trump and the White House. Resignation refers to Donald Trump formally ceasing to hold the position of President of the United States through self-initiated means, including, but not limited to, resignation and retirement. Externally-imposed departures and announcements of future resignations do not qualify. Temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person's duties in the specified position do not qualify. Ceasing to hold the specified position through non-self-initiated means does not qualify.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Trump Resigns? — By December 31, 2027PolymarketUs75% NoOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 24, 10:36 PM UTC