Polymarket USOpen

When will Bitcoin hit $150k? — Before December 2026

No98%
Yes3%

Price checked at

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24h volume$6.3K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 19Oct 24Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the price of Bitcoin is above $149,999.99 at any point before 12:00 AM ET on December 1, 2026. Outcome sourced from CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index. The market settles based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation over any sixty second period, excluding the top 20% and bottom 20% of values. If this trimmed mean crosses the threshold at any point, the market settles to Yes. Otherwise, the market settles to No.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
When will Bitcoin hit $150k? — Before January 2027PolymarketUs96% NoOpen
When will Bitcoin hit $150k? — Before November 2026PolymarketUs—Open
When will Bitcoin hit $150k? — Before October 2026PolymarketUs100% NoOpen

Venue activity

Holders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
Comments0

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As of Oct 24, 09:42 PM UTC