Polymarket USOpen
2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva
No82%
Yes19%
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Opens the venue in a new tab, through Predxy.24h volume$69.5K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva wins the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election, including any potential runoff, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified from relevant government authorities. In the event that the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election is rescheduled, this market will settle based on the results of the next Brazilian Presidential Election to be held within two years of October 4, 2026.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Flavio Bolsonaro | PolymarketUs | 83% Yes | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Renan Santos | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Augusto Cury | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Camilo Santana | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Ronaldo Caiado | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Fernando Haddad | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| 2026 Brazil Presidential Election Winner: Romeu Zema | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
Read from the venue 16 hours agoHolders—
Held value—
Trades (24h)—
Trades—
Open interest—
Comments0
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As of Oct 25, 12:09 AM UTC