Polymarket USOpen

Which Companies Will Confirm an IPO in 2026: Anduril

No99%
Yes2%

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24h volume$213
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 08:40 PMOct 3, 09:00 AMOct 3, 09:20 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Anduril confirms an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by Anduril, the relevant IPO regulatory authority, and the IPOs primary listing exchange. An IPO is confirmed when i) the SEC declares the specified companys Form S-1 or equivalent registration statement effective, or an equivalent filing with an alternative recognized national securities regulator is approved and made public ii) the IPO is priced (e.g., through a final pricing press release or submission of SEC Form 424B4) or iii) a public securities exchange assigns the specified company a ticker symbol and announces that the company has been approved for initial listing pursuant to an IPO. The occurrence of any of these events qualifies, regardless of when the specified companys equity shares begin public trading.

Other legs of this event

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Venue activity

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As of Oct 3, 09:25 PM UTC