Polymarket USOpen

US Confirms That Aliens Exist By: December 31, 2026

No93%
Yes8%

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24h volume$40K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any U.S. federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the Executive Branch of the United States Government. The Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence, the Director of the OMB, the Director of the CIA, the United States Trade Representative, the Ambassador to the UN, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, the Administrator of the SBA, and the Director of the OSTP.

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As of Oct 25, 04:06 AM UTC