NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Kyle Larson

No65%
Yes36%

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24h volume$2.1K
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesNov 23, 2026in 2 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 06:37 PMOct 3, 04:53 AMOct 3, 03:10 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Kyle Larson wins the NASCAR Cup Series Championship in the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season, scheduled to conclude November 8, 2026, this market settled to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizers. If the announcement is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the announcement is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window may result in resolution at the last fair market price. If Kyle Larson is eliminated from contention, the market settled to No.

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question →
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves based on whether Larson wins the 2026 Cup Series, while Polymarket specifies governing-body/event-organizer sourcing and rules for delayed announcements, cancellation, or elimination. Their resolution dates and fine-print procedures differ, but not the underlying question.
  • KalshiOpen →

    Will Kyle Larson be the NASCAR Cup Series Champion?

    If Kyle Larson wins the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series, then the market resolves to Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 2, 11:13 PM UTC

  • PolymarketUsthis market

    NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Kyle Larson

    If Kyle Larson wins the NASCAR Cup Series Championship in the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series season, scheduled to conclude November 8, 2026, this market settled to Yes. Outcome sourced from the relevant governing body or event organizers. If the announcement is postponed or delayed within two weeks of the original date, the market will remain open and will settle once the announcement is complete. Cancellation or rescheduling beyond the two-week window may result in resolution at the last fair market price. If Kyle Larson is eliminated from contention, the market settled to No.

    read Oct 3, 03:29 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Denny HamlinPolymarketUs68% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Joey LoganoPolymarketUs94% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Ty GibbsPolymarketUs98% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Christopher BellPolymarketUs94% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Ryan BlaneyPolymarketUs96% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Carson HocevarPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: William ByronPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Tyler ReddickPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Chase BriscoePolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Bubba WallacePolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Austin CindricPolymarketUs—Open
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Daniel SuarezPolymarketUs—Open
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Chase ElliottPolymarketUs—Open
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Ricky Stenhouse Jr.PolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Austin DillonPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Cody WarePolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Alex BowmanPolymarketUs—Open
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Connor ZilischPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Chris BuescherPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Ross ChastainPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Erik JonesPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: John Hunter NemechekPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Cole CusterPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Josh BerryPolymarketUs99% NoOpen
NASCAR Cup Series Champion: Ty DillonPolymarketUs99% NoOpen

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As of Oct 3, 03:34 PM UTC