UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Belal Muhammad
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Probability history
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Resolution rules
If Belal Muhammad holds the UFC Welterweight Title on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, this market will settle to Yes. Outcome verified by the UFC. Only the undisputed champion is recognized for resolution purposes; an interim champion does not qualify unless elevated to undisputed status by the governing body. This market resolves Yes if Belal Muhammad is the undisputed champion recognized by the governing body, having won the title before December 31, 2026 and not having lost it by 12:00 PM ET, wins the title on December 31, 2026 with the result standing at 12:00 PM ET, or is suspended but not stripped of the title. This market resolves No if Belal Muhammad is stripped of the title, loses the title before or on December 31, 2026 by 12:00 PM ET, voluntarily relinquishes or vacates the title, or holds only an interim title when an undisputed champion exists. For title fights occurring on December 31, 2026, the result must be official by 12:00 PM ET; otherwise the market resolves based on the previous champion. Overturned results after 12:00 PM ET on December 31, 2026 do not affect resolution. If no champion is declared by the governing organization within two weeks of the expiration date, this market will settle at the last fair market price.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Islam Makhachev | PolymarketUs | 96% Yes | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Carlos Prates | PolymarketUs | 98% No | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Ilia Topuria | PolymarketUs | 99% No | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Michael Morales | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Ian Machado Garry | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Leon Edwards | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Kamaru Usman | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Jack Della Maddalena | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Sean Brady | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
| UFC Welterweight Champion on Dec 31, 2026: Shavkat Rakhmonov | PolymarketUs | — | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 24, 11:39 PM UTC