Polymarket USOpen

Texas Senate Election Winner: Ken Paxton (R)

No64%
Yes37%

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24h volume$1.7M
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread1%
ResolvesJan 15, 2027in 3 months

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 7Oct 13Oct 18Oct 23Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will settle to Yes if the Republican Party nominee wins the 2026 midterm election for US Senator from Texas. Outcome sourced from relevant government authorities. The determination of the winner includes any runoff, tiebreak, or other relevant procedure under the applicable rules of the relevant jurisdiction.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Texas Senate Election Winner: James Talarico (D)PolymarketUs66% YesOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 23, 10:17 PM UTC