Michigan State vs Wisconsin: Wisconsin wins

Wisconsin100%
Michigan State0%

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ResolvesOct 4, 202620 days ago

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 08:20 AMOct 2, 08:10 PMOct 3, 08:01 AMOct 3, 07:52 PM

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market resolves to Yes if Wisconsin wins the College Football game between Wisconsin and Michigan State originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi resolves at its stated time and uses a 48-hour postponement window, with a fair-price outcome for cancellation or failure to start; Gemini resolves later using official-result source agencies and may apply its Market Outcome Review Process when the result cannot be determined. These are resolution-rule differences, not differences in the event or outcome being priced.
  • Wisconsin wins

    If Wisconsin wins the Michigan St. vs Wisconsin college football game originally scheduled for Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    read Oct 3, 10:29 AM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Michigan State vs Wisconsin: Wisconsin wins

    This market resolves to Yes if Wisconsin wins the College Football game between Wisconsin and Michigan State originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 4:00 PM. Otherwise, it resolves to No. The Underlying is the official result of the specified sporting event. Source Agencies, in order, are the league governing the event, ESPN, Fox Sports, and the broadcast partner of the event . If the Expiration Value cannot be determined on the Expiration Date (including because the event is cancelled or a team forfeits, withdraws, or is disqualified), the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. View the [full rules](https://assets.gemini.com/predictions/terms_and_conditions/NCAA_FBS_Win-Loss_23ef351f-7ee0-4503-a740-5da5c95d4b2c.pdf).

    read Oct 3, 06:07 PM UTC

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Michigan State vs Wisconsin: Michigan State winsGemini100% WisconsinOpen

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As of Oct 25, 01:58 AM UTC