Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine? — Susan Collins

No60%
Yes40%

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Spread6%
ResolvesNov 10, 2026in 16 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2Oct 8Oct 13Oct 19Oct 25

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If Susan Collins wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Maine Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

The same question elsewhere

View the combined question
Comparable, not identical. Kalshi may determine the result early after a consensus of media projections, while Gemini cites the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. The listed settlement dates also differ (November 3 versus November 10, 2026).
  • Who will win the 2026 Maine Senate election? Susan Collins

    If Susan Collins wins the 2026 Maine Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

    read Oct 21, 01:41 PM UTC

  • Geminithis market

    Who will win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine? — Susan Collins

    If Susan Collins wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine, then this market resolves to Yes. Outcome should be verified from the applicable state election authority and widely reported national sources. This event is mutually exclusive within the Maine Senate election. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fd87e2bb2cb084a0bb9d5936394a9f233?alt=media&token=01422eba-fddb-496b-bd1f-fcb568ad5383&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).

    read Oct 22, 07:20 AM UTC

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As of Oct 25, 06:02 AM UTC