GeminiOpenvenue data is stalePart of a cross-venue question

Will the SAVE Act become law? — SAVE Act becomes law?

No95%

Yes6%

Price checked at Oct 24, 10:43 PM UTC

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24h volume$0

7d volume—

30d volume—

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Spread3%

ResolvesJan 4, 2027in 2 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Resolves to Yes if the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027. Outcome verified on Congress.gov (Library of Congress). Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary). If the outcome cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fbf93251bba2846d9934fe58012f10ac8?alt=media&token=dc50e055-9ead-4c0a-ba17-8a451adb109a&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>).

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Comparable, not identical. Gemini specifies Congress.gov and listed secondary sources, while Kalshi provides no comparable source criteria; this is a settlement-method difference only. They also publish different resolution times (Jan 4 at 15:00 UTC versus 23:59 UTC), which does not change the stated deadline.

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Will the SAVE Act become law?: Will "SAVE Act" (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027?
If the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
read Oct 22, 08:41 AM UTC
this market
Will the SAVE Act become law? — SAVE Act becomes law?
Resolves to Yes if the SAVE Act (H.R. 22) becomes law before Jan 4, 2027. Outcome verified on Congress.gov (Library of Congress). Sources: congress.gov (primary); Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg News, The New York Times, Financial Times, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Politico, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC (secondary). If the outcome cannot be determined on the Expiration Date, the Exchange may determine payouts pursuant to the Market Outcome Review Process. Read the full contract [terms & conditions](<https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2Fbf93251bba2846d9934fe58012f10ac8?alt=media&token=dc50e055-9ead-4c0a-ba17-8a451adb109a&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba>).
read Oct 23, 09:43 AM UTC

Venue activity

Read from the venue 2 days ago

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As of Oct 24, 10:44 PM UTC