KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,695 or above

7,695 or above66%

No34%

Price checked at Oct 2, 09:29 AM UTC

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24h volume$110.6

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread7%

ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 4 hours

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT is above 7694.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,680 or above	Kalshi	61% 7,680 or above	$1.5K	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,675 or above	Kalshi	69% 7,675 or above	$377.3	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,740 or above	Kalshi	97% No	$279.1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7549.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,550 or above	Kalshi	99% 7,550 or above	$267	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,690 or above	Kalshi	55% 7,690 or above	$233.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,700 or above	Kalshi	60% 7,700 or above	$213.8	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,645 or above	Kalshi	89% 7,645 or above	$57.3	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7619.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,620 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,620 or above	$57	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,755 or above	Kalshi	90% No	$50.6	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,585 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,585 or above	$44	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,705 or above	Kalshi	58% 7,705 or above	$38.7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,590 or above	Kalshi	97% 7,590 or above	$22	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,580 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,580 or above	$22	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,615 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,615 or above	$15	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,610 or above	Kalshi	92% 7,610 or above	$15	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,760 or above	Kalshi	99% No	$10	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,630 or above	Kalshi	93% 7,630 or above	$9	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,685 or above	Kalshi	62% 7,685 or above	$8.5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,660 or above	Kalshi	79% 7,660 or above	$7	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,605 or above	Kalshi	93% 7,605 or above	$5	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,640 or above	Kalshi	83% 7,640 or above	$1.2	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,625 or above	Kalshi	95% 7,625 or above	$1.1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,635 or above	Kalshi	92% 7,635 or above	$1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,595 or above	Kalshi	98% 7,595 or above	$1	—	—	Open
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 10am EDT? 7,765 or above	Kalshi	95% No	$0	—	—	Open

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 09:41 AM UTC