KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,635 or above

7,635 or above90%
No11%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread24%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 4 hours

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 03:55 AMOct 2, 06:37 AMOct 2, 09:18 AMOct 2, 12:00 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT is above 7634.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi90% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi80% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi75% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi83% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi66% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi61% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi56% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi58% 7,700 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi63% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi70% 7,690 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi68% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi67% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi82% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi76% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7614.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,615 or aboveKalshi89% 7,615 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi87% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi90% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi91% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7574.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 12pm EDT? 7,575 or aboveKalshi98% 7,575 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Open interest—
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As of Oct 2, 12:17 PM UTC