KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,690 or above

7,690 or above86%
No14%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread26%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 1 hour

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 03:55 AMOct 2, 07:40 AMOct 2, 11:25 AMOct 2, 03:10 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT is above 7689.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi97% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi62% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi56% 7,705 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi70% 7,710 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi65% 7,700 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi95% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi80% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi89% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi85% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi99% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi99% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi99% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi99% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi99% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,635 or aboveKalshi99% 7,635 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi99% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi89% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7604.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,605 or aboveKalshi92% 7,605 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi89% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7594.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,595 or aboveKalshi91% 7,595 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi89% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 1pm EDT? 7,590 or aboveKalshi91% 7,590 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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As of Oct 2, 03:37 PM UTC