KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7589.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,590 or above

7,590 or above82%
No19%

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24h volume$0
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread16%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 3 hours

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 03:55 AMOct 2, 07:37 AMOct 2, 11:18 AMOct 2, 03:00 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7589.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7774.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,775 or aboveKalshi81% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7759.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,760 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7784.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,785 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7769.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,770 or aboveKalshi84% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7764.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,765 or aboveKalshi88% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7779.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,780 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7754.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,755 or aboveKalshi86% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi75% 7,735 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7744.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,745 or aboveKalshi82% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7739.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,740 or aboveKalshi78% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi83% 7,725 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7749.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,750 or aboveKalshi79% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi74% 7,730 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi95% 7,700 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi84% 7,715 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi95% 7,690 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi95% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi83% 7,705 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi81% 7,720 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi86% 7,710 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi95% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7609.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,610 or aboveKalshi87% 7,610 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi85% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi88% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi87% 7,580 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 2, 03:55 PM UTC