KalshiOpen

Will the S&P 500 be above 7634.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,635 or above

7,635 or above99%
No1%

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24h volume$103
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity—
Spread30%
ResolvesOct 2, 2026in 52 minutes

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 03:55 AMOct 2, 08:33 AMOct 2, 01:10 PMOct 2, 05:48 PM

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

If the S&P 500 index value on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT is above 7634.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on October 02, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after October 02, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Will the S&P 500 be above 7654.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,655 or aboveKalshi99% 7,655 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7659.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,660 or aboveKalshi99% 7,660 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7629.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,630 or aboveKalshi99% 7,630 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7644.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,645 or aboveKalshi99% 7,645 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7639.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,640 or aboveKalshi99% 7,640 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7649.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,650 or aboveKalshi99% 7,650 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7704.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,705 or aboveKalshi75% 7,705 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7714.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,715 or aboveKalshi62% 7,715 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7724.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,725 or aboveKalshi83% 7,725 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7719.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,720 or aboveKalshi54% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7709.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,710 or aboveKalshi70% 7,710 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7624.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,625 or aboveKalshi99% 7,625 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7734.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,735 or aboveKalshi89% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7729.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,730 or aboveKalshi87% NoOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7699.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,700 or aboveKalshi86% 7,700 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7689.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,690 or aboveKalshi94% 7,690 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7694.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,695 or aboveKalshi89% 7,695 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7684.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,685 or aboveKalshi95% 7,685 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7679.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,680 or aboveKalshi95% 7,680 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7674.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,675 or aboveKalshi99% 7,675 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7664.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,665 or aboveKalshi99% 7,665 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7669.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,670 or aboveKalshi99% 7,670 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7599.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,600 or aboveKalshi85% 7,600 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7584.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,585 or aboveKalshi88% 7,585 or aboveOpen
Will the S&P 500 be above 7579.9999 on Oct 2, 2026 at 3pm EDT? 7,580 or aboveKalshi87% 7,580 or aboveOpen

Venue activity

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Held value—
Trades (24h)—
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Open interest—
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As of Oct 2, 06:08 PM UTC