PolymarketOpen

Set 1 Winner: Arias/Carou vs Miguel/Ribeiro

Arias/Carou54%
Miguel/Ribeiro47%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$61.9
Spread94%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 2, 05:58 AMOct 2, 08:35 AMOct 2, 11:12 AMOct 2, 01:49 PMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 2 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Arias/Carou and Miguel/Ribeiro in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arias/Carou” if Arias/Carou wins the first set. It will resolve to “Miguel/Ribeiro” if Miguel/Ribeiro wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Curitiba (Doubles): Arias/Carou vs Miguel/RibeiroPolymarket56% Arias/CarouOpen
Curitiba: Completed Match: Arias/Carou vs Miguel/RibeiroPolymarket55% YesOpen
Set Handicap: Miguel/Ribeiro (-1.5) vs Arias/Carou (+1.5)Polymarket77% Arias/CarouOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket59% Under 2.5Open
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set Handicap: Arias/Carou (-1.5) vs Miguel/Ribeiro (+1.5)Polymarket69% Miguel/RibeiroOpen
Arias/Carou vs. Miguel/Ribeiro: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Set 2 Winner: Arias/Carou vs Miguel/RibeiroPolymarket50% Miguel/RibeiroOpen

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As of Oct 2, 02:15 PM UTC