Closer Senate Race: Nebraska or Texas?: Will Texas US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate?
Price checked at
Prices have not been checked within the last hour.
Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
If Texas US Senate has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Nebraska US Senate and Texas US Senate as of Nov 10, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers, using total votes cast as the denominator. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used. If multiple elections have identical margins and relevant options are listed, each tied option resolves to Yes at $1.00 divided by the number of tied options.
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.Venue activity
Read from the venue 3 days agoDiscussion on Predxy
What Predxy's readers make of this market. Everyone can read; signed-in readers can write. The venue's own thread, when it has one, is the box below.Sign in to join the discussion.
Nobody has said anything here yet.
As of Oct 24, 08:36 PM UTC