PolymarketOpen

Game Spread: Keegan Smith (-0.5) vs Mitchell Krueger (+0.5)

Keegan Smith53%
Mitchell Krueger48%

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24h volume—
7d volume—
30d volume—
Liquidity$2.6K
Spread3%
ResolvesOct 9, 2026in 7 days

Probability history

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Probability history0%25%50%75%100%Oct 1, 10:50 PMOct 2, 01:31 AMOct 2, 04:12 AMOct 2, 06:54 AMShaded periods have no successful hourly price check.Shaded periods have no successful hourly price check.

No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.

Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Keegan Smith" if Keegan Smith wins 0.5 or more total games than Mitchell Krueger in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Mitchell Krueger". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the match ends at a point where Keegan Smith could no longer have finished 0.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Mitchell Krueger". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Sourcehttps://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current

Other legs of this event

MarketVenuePriceStatus
Columbus: Completed Match: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan SmithPolymarket52% YesOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket82% OverOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Polymarket58% OverOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5Polymarket62% OverOpen
Set 2 Winner: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan SmithPolymarket50% Mitchell KruegerOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5Polymarket53% UnderOpen
Set 1 Winner: Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan SmithPolymarket53% Keegan SmithOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket67% UnderOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5Polymarket51% UnderOpen
Mitchell Krueger vs Keegan Smith: Mitchell Krueger winsPolymarket55% Keegan SmithOpen
Krueger vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Polymarket54% OverOpen
Mitchell Krueger vs. Keegan Smith: Total Sets O/U 2.5Polymarket58% Under 2.5Open
Set Handicap: Keegan Smith (-1.5) vs Mitchell Krueger (+1.5)Polymarket68% Mitchell KruegerOpen

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As of Oct 2, 07:28 AM UTC