Will gas hit $4.70 (High) by October 31?
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Probability history
Market-implied probabilities · All recorded historyDrag to move · pinch or ⌘/Ctrl+scroll to zoom
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No recorded data before Oct 1 in this window.
Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and October 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price for options marked ↑ (High), or equal to or below the listed price for options marked ↓ (Low). Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.907, this market will use $3.90 as the price). The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Sourcehttps://gasprices.aaa.com/
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will gas hit $4.80 (High) by October 31? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $4.60 (High) by October 31? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $4.30 (Low) by October 31? | Polymarket | 52% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $4.20 (Low) by October 31? | Polymarket | 51% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $4.00 (Low) by October 31? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
| Will gas hit $3.80 (Low) by October 31? | Polymarket | 62% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 08:02 AM UTC