Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $417,000 and $427,000 on December 31?
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Probability history
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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.
Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to the median home value for all property types in the Austin, Texas Metro area on December 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source will be official data from the Parcl Labs Sales Price Index for the Austin, Texas Metro area (Parcl_ID: 2887289). The settlement price will be calculated by multiplying the published price index value (price per square foot) by 2100 square feet, which is the median home size in the Austin, Texas Metro area. Parcl is set to publish this data on December 31, 2026. If no data for December 31 is released by January 10, 2027, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve according to the most recently published data. (see: https://app.parcllabs.com/prediction-market-resolutions/59)
Other legs of this event
A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.| Market | Venue | Price | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $437,000 and $446,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 76% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 86% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $427,000 and $437,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 74% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be at least $446,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 85% No | Open |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $407,000 and $417,000 on December 31? | Polymarket | 83% No | Open |
Venue activity
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As of Oct 2, 10:42 AM UTC