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Will Anthropic list by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2T?

Yes50%

No50%

Price checked at Oct 1, 11:00 PM UTC

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24h volume$23

7d volume—

30d volume—

Liquidity—

Spread—

ResolvesDec 31, 2026in 3 months

Probability history

Market-implied probabilities · All recorded history

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Based on this market’s outcome prices, expressed as probabilities.

Resolution rules

Settles Yes if Anthropic lists by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC and its market capitalization on its first day of trading is above $2T, under the venue's companyIpoFirstDayMarketCap template. The payload does not define whether the market cap is taken at the close or intraday, whether exactly the threshold counts, or how shares outstanding are counted. No resolution source is specified in the payload. Deployed and settled on Hyperliquid by trade.xyz.

Other legs of this event

A leg read alone is misleading; the others are beside it.

Market	Venue	Price	24h volume	Liquidity	Scheduled end	Status
Will Anthropic list by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.5T?	TradeXyz	50% Yes	$25	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic list by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC with a first-day market cap above $1.5T?	TradeXyz	50% Yes	$23	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic list by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC with a first-day market cap above $2.25T?	TradeXyz	50% Yes	$23	—	—	Open
Will Anthropic list by 31 December 2026 23:59 UTC with a first-day market cap above $1.75T?	TradeXyz	50% Yes	$22	—	—	Open

Venue activity

Read from the venue 45 minutes ago

Holders—

Held value—

Trades (24h)—

Trades—

Open interest—

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As of Oct 1, 11:01 PM UTC